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Keys To The Game

Friday, December 21, 2007

Week 16 – Browns
Are we still doing this? Is anybody still here? Hello? The Bengals were just torched by some dude named Shaun Hill. Hill’s statline from Sunday, 21/28 – 197 yards – 1 TD – rating 105.8 also 5 rushes for 12 yards and 1TD. Let’s recap Shaun Hill’s passing and rushing stats for the 5 seasons from 2002 to 2006:
2002
2003
2004
2005: 2 rushes for -2 yards
2006
Wow, he actually improved on those numbers. And is it really all that surprising that the Bengals were embarrassed by a terrible team starting their 3rd string QB? The Bengals have always been a mess on west coast road trips. Adding that this Bengals team is one of the most unprofessional teams in the NFL and that they have no reasons left to play, then you have a team going through the motions worse than a Steven Segal movie.

The worst part about the game lies in the fact that few bright spots remain as building blocks for next season. All phases of the game- offense, defense, special teams, coaching, front office, celebrity golf tournaments- all of them suck right now. The Bengals were thought to be missing a few key pieces from being an elite team, but now they appear further away than they have since Marvin’s first season. The Bengals have hit a 10 year low as they are now 3 point underdogs at home to the Clowns. The Bengals have been favored to win 9 out of 14 games this season, and their record in those games is 4-5. That means 9 times the Bengals were supposed to be the better team, but they lost to the Browns, Chiefs, Bills, Cardinals and 49ers. If that is not underachieving, I do not know what is. I have a lot of time on my hands, but not enough time to go through each team and see their record when they are favorites, but I have to believe that 4-5 is the worst record in the league.

Keys to the Game
Remember when this was an appropriate picture for the Browns?

That was the picture shown after the Browns week one blowout loss to the Steelers leading into the Bengals game. The Bengals had a 7-0 lead in that game with the ball and the Browns crowd booing their lungs out, ready for another collapse. The Bengals went on to have an interception and fumble in Bengal territory to allow the Browns to build momentum and a lead. The rest of the Browns season builds from that point. Had the Bengals not given up the ball and points, the Browns were primed for another collapse and a Derek Anderson benching. Instead, the Browns are going to the playoffs, and the Bengals started the season 1-4. Not much looks good this week as the Bengals defense cannot stop anyone, and the Bengals offense is pass only and inconsistently. Jamal Lewis has always been a Bengals killer, and he is probably dreaming of another 200 yard day this Sunday. For the Bengals to win they have to run the ball, and the defense has to play to the best of their ability…..which is slightly above horrible.


When the Browns have the ball: So much for the Bengals improved defense. They had been out-inepted by the opposing offenses allowing the Bengals to move all the way up to the 26th spot in the league. However, they ran into the juggernaut that is Shaun Hill which dropped them 2 spots to number 28. Not only are the Bengals the 8th worst in the league against the run, but if the opposing QBs were combined into one person, that player is better than Carson Palmer. Here is a comparison of the Bengals opposing QBs combined against Peyton Manning and Carson Palmer; keep in mind this conglomerate includes such top rate passers as Steve McNair(twice), Damon Huard(benched), Chad Pennington(benched), J.P. Losman(benched), Kurt Warner(backup), Vince Young(hurt), Brock Berlin(3rd string, 1st ever start) and Shaun Hill(3rd string, 1st ever start) for 9 out of the 14 games:
Name----------ATT--COMP%---YARDS---TD---INT---Rating
FrankenQB----450---66%-------3,193------25----15-------92.3
Palmer---------522----65%--------3,581-----22----17-------86.2
Manning-------471---63.5%------3,547-----28-----14-------94.9
FrankenQB would have the 4th highest completion percentage in the NFL, you know what that means? It means if I see one more quick slant against the Bengals for 8 yards I am going to throw up so hard that my puke will puke. And again, there aren’t many bright spots for next year. The young DBs were supposed to have growing pains, but they are now turning into legitimate pains. They could be okay with some help in the pass rush and LB coverage department, but they may never get it from this team. They have two guys with standout ability in Geathers and Ahmad Brooks, but we will see if they ever become dominant players. Other than that they a some guys who could be solid starters in this league, but they aren’t worth paying more than average starter money. They are Peko, Justin Smith, Landon Johnson, Jeanty, J. Joe, Hall, Madieu and Ndukwe. For depth keep Dhani, Fanane, and Marvin White, then sprinkle some veterans and draft picks around these guys and try to put something together. If Justin Smith and Madieu ask for more than average player money in the offseason, let some other team make that mistake. There are plenty of serviceable D-ends out their that will play for a quarter of the money that Smith’s franchise tag costs.

When the Bengals have the ball: Putting Chad’s drops, TJ’s yelling, and Carson’s misfires aside for a second, the true problem with the Bengals offense is the running game. Pundits talk all the time about how forcing 8 defenders in the box to stop the run will free up receivers. The Bengals running game is so weak that I wonder if they even see 6 men in the box sometimes. The Cardinals killed the Bengals running game with barely more than the 4 d-linemen alone. The fact that the Bengals passing game is still top 5 in the league shows what they could do if the offense had any balance. So far this season, the Bengals have run the ball on 37.5% of their plays. Even the pass crazy Patriots do not have that type of imbalance as they run the ball 45% of the time. The Bengals actually average more passing yards per game than the Colts, and are 10th in the league in TD passes. The Bengals rushing attack is 23rd in the league overall and is averaging a measly 3.7 yards per carry. Against the 49ers, the Bengals threw 33 times to 17 run calls. It really should not matter who is running the ball, if the defense is backing off that much, the Bengals line should be able to clear enough space for Joe Merrick to run for 5 yards (If you are not familiar with Joe Merrick, see picture below). An interesting stat is that Dede and Watson combine for 739 yards on 147 carries, which is a 5 yard average.
Multiple upgrades will need to be made to improve the running game next season. First, Soul Patch needs to focus more on running the ball instead of intricate bunch formation pass sets. Second, the Bengals will need the personnel to step up and run the ball. The line and backs have not been solid this season and the Bengals must find consistent starters at all positions. That needs to be a priority even if it requires a one year fix like the Browns received in their 1 year contract with Jamal Lewis. If Dede and Watson together can average 5 yards per carry, could the answer be a Dede, Watson, Irons combo next season with Rudi or Chris Perry as the last back on the roster?
The new ‘Broadway Joe’ is not an animal, he is a Pro Bowl product of the system.

What you do want to see: Where is Brady Quinn when the Bengals need him?

Oh yeah, he looks busy. Doesn’t look like he will be entering the game to save the day for the Bengals this week. Nice pink shirt.

What you don’t want to see: The Browns win the division, is that even allowed? If the Browns win out and the Steelers lose, the Browns will be in the AFC North penthouse. That would be like a member of the Spears family winning the Nobel Prize in Literature. (Whodeyfans.com was nominated last year, but lost our bid to become the 2nd American winner in the last 50 years)
The next Toni Morrison.

Matchup of mullets: Carson Palmer vs CB Leigh Bodden

The last pass Palmer threw against the Browns was picked off by Bodden in the Bengals desperation attempt at a comeback with 20 seconds left. Bodden also recovered Rudi Johnson’s early game fumble that helped spark the Browns comeback and season momentum. Palmer and his new mullet will be looking for revenge and Lehigh Bowden will come to play. BENGALS WIN

Matchup of Moustaches: Kenny Watson vs Romeo Crennel

The powers of moustache have finally kicked in for our man Romeo. He is now being elevated to the upper pantheon of coaching to join his moustachioed brethren. The Browns are currently battling Jeff Fischer and the Titans for the final Wild Card spot, so the powers of moustache will clash for the playoffs. This should be like the old WWF where the loser has to shave his moustache, since by not making the playoffs they do not deserve a moustache. CLOWNS WIN

Duel of the uglies: Jeff Rowe vs. Dave Zastudil

Zastudil is one ugly dude, but he should get credit for perhaps the most amazing event of the season. Zastudil hurt his back early in the season, and the Browns were forced to sign punting replacements from off the streets. One of these lucky souls was a 38 year old man named Scott Player. Being older, Player was in the NFL before the league outlawed the 1-bar facemask, so he is allowed to wear one. Giving his best effort to stick in the NFL, Player took advantage of the 1-bar facemask rule making him the only player in the NFL to wear one in years. He also sported a hefty moustache, here is a picture of a true American Hero, Scott Player:

Zastudil deserves a round of applause for allowing this to happen. CLOWNS WIN

Battle of old men: Bryan Robinson(33) vs Ted Washington(39)

Season stats
Bryan Robinson – 14 games, 18 tackles, ½ sack, 1 forced fumble.
Ted Washington – 5 game, 6 tackles.
Robinson dominates yet another geriatric carcass. I am beginning to think that older players may not be as good as younger players, but I need more research. I will add that to the list of studies being conducted under the Www.whodeyfans.com Fellowship at the The Scripps Research Institute. The only study currently underway is The Mullet and its supposed effects on fast twitch muscle fibers.BENGALS WIN

Biggest loser fan: Stormtrooper/Darth Chinstrap vs This A—hole

We now have video:

If New Jersey is the armpit of America, then the northeast Ohio/western Pennsylvania region is definitely the butthole.....and this news coverage is proof. CLOWNS WIN

Cheerbabe Tussle: Ben-gals vs The Bone Lady

I still cannot get enough of the Bone Lady. I hope she rides the Bonemobile to Cincinnati this weekend so all of the bone-a-holics in Cincinnati can get a ride in the backseat. Wait, that didn’t sound right, I hope everyone in Cincinnati gets to enjoy the Bone Lady’s presence and Bone It. Again, wait, let’s just look at some Ben-gals:

ErinKellie

I think the BENGALS WIN

Little known Browns fact: The Clowns have not won a division championship since 1989. A few details of that year:
Look Who’s Talking was a top 5 movie.
New Edition broke up.
Madonna’s Like A Prayer was the #1 song.
America’s Funniest Home Videos premiered.
Growing Pains was a top TV show.
The Soviet Union still had 2 years left.
Nintendo released the power glove.
Basically, the Browns suck, but in years when they actually win, the entire year is lame.



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The Puppy Pound is heading south

This thought didn’t even occur to me until I read this story in the Dayton Daily News. We’re probably going to have to put up with a lot of Browns fans this weekend. Ugh.

It’s probably too late to ask you not to sell your tickets if you were thinking about it. Maybe you can try to sell it to a person you know is a Bengals fan.

Even when their team sucks, Browns fans are some of the most obnoxious on the planet—including soccer hooligans. Read about Number 1 Fan’s experiences at the Cleveland tailgate during week 2. We’re lucky he got out alive.

This year, it could be worse. The Browns don’t actually suck, and they have a first round playoff exit in their future. So you know their fans are going to be full of themselves.

Don't know what we can do about it at this point, but lets hope the Bengals show the Browns just how welcome they are.

A couple points:

-Don't forget this is the Battle of Ohio. The team has that to play for.

-The lifetime series against the Browns is tied, 34-34.



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Here's a string...play it out

Thursday, December 20, 2007

A few thoughts heading into this weekend’s game:

• It’s fitting that Eric Steinbach is returning to Cincinnati this weekend, because after watching Carson’s performance last week by the bay, I wonder about his confidence in his O-line. What used to be such a strength over the last three years is not anymore, and I think you can see that in the way Palmer’s been playing.

His throws seem rushed and his footwork seems off. Now, he’s only been sacked 17 times, compared to 49 times for Jon Kitna. So I don’t think it’s just the pressure he’s facing. I also think that he knows the running game won’t help him much, so he’s putting more pressure on himself to make things happen. And Steinbach, as a guard, was a big part of creating holes for the running backs, and we’re missing that this year.

• I actually had a dream this week that the Bengals fired Chuck Bresnahan, a.k.a. Barney Rubble. I don’t usually dream about assistants on coaching staffs, but I woke up excited until I realized that it was all just a crazy, happy dream.

But wouldn’t it be great if we had two coordinators who we were afraid would get hired away by a team looking for a head coach at the end of the season? I don’t think any team would take our two coordinators to be clubhouse attendants right now.

• Seeing the season Jamal Lewis is having (1084 yds, 83.4 yds/gm, 4.3 yds/carry, 9 TDs) gives me hope that Rudi’s career isn’t over. Everyone thought Lewis was done a couple of seasons ago, but right now everyone is saying how great he is again.

After I wrote the above paragraph, though, I checked out the stats, and Lewis has never had a season as bad as Rudi’s is this year. Here are their yds/carry over the last five seasons, going back to Lewis’ amazing 2003, when he rushed for 2006 yards. That was also the year Rudi split time with Corey Dillon.


Year---------Jamal Lewis----------Rudi Johnson
2003------------5.3----------------------4.5
2004------------4.3----------------------4.0
2005------------3.4----------------------4.3
2006------------3.6----------------------3.8
2007------------4.3----------------------2.9


Lewis had 2 years under 4 yds/carry, and now is back above 4. But he never went under 3, and he spent an entire offseason with D’Angelo Barksdale in prison, which probably wasn't the best offseason training program.

They are similar style backs, and Lewis' stats tell me that Rudi isn't necessarily done. But Lewis is a better back than Rudi ever will be, so maybe it's not a good comparison.

• According to wikipedia, a backhanded compliment is an insult disguised as a compliment. It is generally used to belittle or condescend, or often one uses a backhanded compliment when one wants to insult someone in a subtle way.

Check out these quotes from the Bengals about how great Derek Anderson is this year (from the Enquirer):

Rookie cornerback Leon Hall: "He has pretty much (ridden) the wave. He has a lot of playmakers around him. He gets the ball to them and doesn't make a lot of mistakes."

Cornerback Johnathan Joseph: "He's a smart player. He's not going to try to do too much. He's going to try to make the right plays. He does what's called."

Defensive lineman Bryan Robinson: "I think a lot of (Anderson's success) has to do with the offensive line. He has only been sacked 12 times. If the quarterback can stand there and not worry, it makes his job easier."

Across the field, a fellow quarterback, Bengals starter Carson Palmer, appreciates what Anderson has done.

"I think he's played well all year," Palmer said. "He's gotten the ball to their playmakers in Kellen Winslow and Braylon (Edwards) and done a good job of getting them into the right running plays because (tailback) Jamal Lewis has obviously had a great year."


Actually those might not be backhanded compliments, because they’re not that subtle. That tells me the Bengals are a little pissed at the Browns, and Anderson, because that loss in Cleveland was really the beginning of this long, crappy season. I hope to see an angry Bengals team on Sunday, and to that I say: It’s about f—ing time.



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